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Post Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2015 6:55 am 
 

Hi all,

A site update has been posted!  This update focuses completely on item valuations on the Indexes.  The Valuation Board, under the guidance of dbartman, has been diligently tracking eBay sales in the two years (!) since the last update, so you will necessarily see some large swings on some items.  As before, the items currently being tracked are the class 4 & 5 Rares, with a smattering of 3's thrown in.

More importantly, I'm unveiling a new software engine for processing sales and calculating values.  Previously, Board members recorded sales into Excel spreadsheets, which were periodically uploaded to me for combining and exporting to the Indexes.  While the VB Assistant bot (a bot similar to Auction Hunter, but for completed auctions) was assisting in finding items, there was still an amount of effort required of Board members to evaluate an item's condition and record the necessary auction information into the spreadsheet.

The new engine takes most of the drudgery out of this process.  The bot finds auctions as before, but now all that's required of members is to evaluate the item's condition and record it directly into a post on the forum.  The software then automatically compiles the item data every evening and adjusts the item value.  These new values are then exported to the Indexes once a month, again automatically.  An example view of what a Board Member sees:

Attachment:
Image1.jpg

And that's not all.  Phase 2 of this rollout will incorporate the remainder of the items on the site into the system, though for these class 1 and 2's, we're going to ignore condition, and just assume everything is average (between VG and Fine).  Especially once we have lots of data points -- which shouldn't take long -- the ratty Poor condition copies and the minty shrinks will balance each other out.  Therefore, the only human input needed will be to confirm that the auction is valid, i.e. not the wrong item and not a group of items.

Along with this, we have some vacancies on the Valuation Board.  If you're interested in being a part -- and former Board members are welcome to reapply! -- please send me a PM or an email.

We're excited to introduce this system, which as envisioned will make item values on the site up-to-date and increasingly accurate.  As always, if you spot something broken (like Keep on the Borderlands valuing at $2000) that we missed, please let me know.  Enjoy!

Foul

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Post Posted: Mon Feb 23, 2015 11:40 pm 
 

FoulFoot wrote in Site Update:A site update has been posted!  This update focuses completely on item valuations on the Indexes.  The Valuation Board, under the guidance of dbartman, has been diligently tracking eBay sales in the two years (!) since the last update, so you will necessarily see some large swings on some items.


Sounds cool, thanks for the details, Scott.  Do you and Doug (and the rest of the VB) have a sense of the general change in values, as well as any trending insights worth sharing about the new data?  

Just curious.  Thanks again :D


Allan Grohe (grodog@gmail.com)
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Post Posted: Tue Feb 24, 2015 4:49 am 
 

Doug can weigh in on this -- he's spent more time looking at the actual numbers than I have! -- but my sense is a trending up, and on certain items, way up.  That's a bit surprising, as without the data, I would have said things are trending down on most items due to a decreasing interest.

Foul

  

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Post Posted: Tue Feb 24, 2015 11:03 pm 
 

Yes, I can confirm what Scott has mentioned.  Valuations are up considerably on almost all items.  Perhaps not so much with the rare items, since we had a big update in 2013, but specifically on the commons.  This will become evident, once Scott has had the opportunity to update the valuations for these items.  Valuations have gone up 200-300% since the last update, even more for some items.  Box sets seem to be one of the items that have raised in value the most, especially if they are in SW.  It seems like not many of them have survived that aren't already in someone collection, and those that have, are in high demand.

Another observation pertains to SW.  Items in SW have definitely become a wild card.  They used to be fairly predictable in sales price (1.5x), but in the last 2-3 years, they often go for considerably more.

As a whole, interest might be decreasing in regard to role-playing and printed products, but the original players and consumers of these still appear to be very much endeared to them.  As many of us are getting older, and perhaps have more disposable income, we are snapping up these lost treasures of our youth.  Perhaps we are just trying to bring back fond memories of bygone times, or perhaps some of us are trying to pass these onto the next generation, so they can also appreciate some of what made the game great, and influenced who we are today.

By the way, thanks Scott for a fantastic update to how we track valuations!

  
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